New Polls show Davis in trouble in Florida Gov. race by Mitch E. Perry

09/27/06

Two new polls released in the last 24 hours show Jim Davis is in trouble in his race against Charlie Crist for Governor.

A Mason Dixon Poll released last night has Crist up by 15 points over the Tampa area Congressman, 51 to 36 percent, while a Strategic Visions Poll released this morning has Christ up by 11 points, 51 to 40 percent.

David Johnson is the CEO with Strategic Visions. He says Jim Davis must get ads on television soon, or risk being defined by Charlie Crist (roll tape#1 o.q.�at this point�)

The fact that Charlie Crist is better known that Jim Davis at this point in the general election should be no shock. Crist is running for his 4th state wide office in the last 8 years, whereas Congressman Davis is a relative stranger to voters outside of the Tampa Bay Area. Up until late August, nearly half of registered Democratic voters said they didn’t know whether they would vote for him or his primary election opponent, State Senator Rod Smith. Strategic Visions’ David Johnson says that lack of name recognition is a major problem for Davis right now (roll tape#2 o.q.� a big disadvantage for Davis�)

Aubrey Jewett is a professor of political science at the University of Central Florida He says it’s not really suprising that based on name recognition and money that Crist has at least a 10 point lead over Congressman Davis. He DOES believe Davis can come back, but says it will be an uphill battle (roll tape#3 o.q.�move quickly, Davis does�)

Today Congressman Davis announced in Miami his “Achieve Florida�education plan, that will rate schools not solely on the FCAT, but on a range of measurements.

Davis said his proposal would give chronically struggling schools direct access to the expertise and resources of state education officials to improve.

Central Florida Poli Sci Professor Aubrey Jewett says issues like education – and some others – will be important for Davis to campaign on, to show independent and undecided voters why they should choose him over Charlie Crist in November (roll tape#4 o.q.�on that one either�)

On Tuesday, 3 weeks after the Primary election, Rod Smith and Jim Davis finally shared the same stage in a campaign appearance. Political analyst Aubrey Jewett said those 3 weeks when the 2 were not together was NOT helpful for Democrats chances (roll tape#5 o.q.�organization and stragegy�)

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